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The Impact of Strategies on the Vote Share of New Parties / Conclusion
The Impact of Strategies on the Vote Share of New Parties / Conclusion
Contents
Chapter
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Page
1–12
Titelei/Inhaltsverzeichnis
1–12
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13–26
1 The New Party Phenomenon - Introduction
13–26
Details
1.1 Concepts and Definitions of New Parties
1.2 The New Party Challenge
1.3 Projekt Framework
27–50
2 Explanations of Success and Failure of New Parties - Research Review
27–50
Details
2.1 Theoretical Foundations
2.1.1 The Role of New Parties in Spatial Theory
2.1.2 Saliency Theory and Issue Competition
2.1.3 Conclusions
2.2 State of the Art in Empirical (New) Party Research
2.2.1 Causes and Consequences of Party Policy Moves
2.2.2 Explanation of Success (and Failure) of New Parties
2.2.3 Conclusions
51–66
3 The Impact of Strategies - Theory and Hypotheses
51–66
Details
3.1 The PSO Theory of Party Competition
3.2 Explaining the Impact of Strategies on the Electoral Fortunes of New Parties
3.2.1 Summary of the Proposed Theory
3.2.2 Model and Hypotheses
3.2.2.1 Positional Competition
3.2.2.2 Issue Competition
3.2.2.3 Influences on the Impact of Issue and Positional Competition
3.2.2.4 Nicheness
3.2.2.5 Ideological Proximity of New and Established Parties
3.2.2.6 Competitiveness of the Established Party
3.3 Summary
67–98
4 Assessing Similarity in Manifestos - An Overview and a New Measure
67–98
Details
4.1 The Content of Election Programs
4.1.1 The CMP and CMP-based Measurements
4.1.2 Computer-Assisted Text Analysis in Political Science
4.1.3 Cosine Similarity and the Vector Space Model
4.2 Synthetic Manifestos – Assessing Measurement Properties
4.2.1 The Left-Right Experiment
4.2.2 The Green-Growth Experiment
4.2.3 Conclusion
99–142
5 Modeling the New Party Vote - Data, Descriptive Statistics, and Method
99–142
Details
5.1 Data and Case Selection
5.2 Dyadic Approach
5.3 Dependent Variable
5.4 Independent Variables
5.4.1 Positional Competition
5.4.2 Issue Competition
5.4.3 New Parties and Niche Issues
5.4.4 Ideological Proximity Between New and Established Parties
5.4.5 Competitiveness of the Established Party
5.4.6 Public Opinion
5.4.7 Electoral System
5.4.8 Controls
5.5 Method
5.6 Summary
143–162
6 The Influence of Strategies on the Vote Share of New Parties - Results
143–162
Details
6.1 The Impact of Strategic Choices
6.1.1 Testing the Influence of Strategies
6.1.2 Interactive Effects of Nicheness, Proximity and Competitiveness
6.2 Model Comparison and Summary
163–166
7 Conclusion
163–166
Details
167–208
8 Appendix
167–208
Details
8.1 Corpus Data Availability
8.2 New Parties in the Sample
8.3 Validation for the Party System Similarity Score
8.4 Robustness Check for Issue Competition Base Model
8.5 Binning Estimation of Linear-Interactive Moderation Effects
8.6 Models for Positional Competition
209–224
Bibliography
209–224
Details
225–225
Acknowledgment/Danksagung
225–225
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The Impact of Strategies on the Vote Share of New Parties , page 163 - 166
Conclusion
Autoren
Martin Rachuj
DOI
doi.org/10.5771/9783748938958-163
ISBN print: 978-3-7560-0594-9
ISBN online: 978-3-7489-3895-8
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doi.org/10.5771/9783748938958-163
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