@article{2018:niedermayer:die_entwic,
title = {Die Entwicklung des deutschen Parteiensystems. Zur Bedeutung kurzfristiger Faktoren im Jahrzehnt des europäischen Wandels},
year = {2018},
note = {When only glancing at the 2013 German federal election it seems to be
an exceptional case, as it reversed the long-term trend of the German
party system towards an ever-increasing fragmentation by a specific
combination of short-term factors . The results of the 2017 election,
however, seem to have re-instated the long-term factors and led the
fragmentation trend to pick up again . When taking a closer look it
becomes apparent that the structural characteristics of the party
system remained stable during the first half of the election period
and that the election results were very strongly determined by
short-term factors - especially by refugee policies . The development
of the party system since 2013 therefore is not an inevitable process
only determined by long-term economical and societal changes . It can
be reversed or accelerated by the parties themselves, depending on how
they shape the short-term factors determining the electoral behaviour
by their own personal and policy offers to the voters .},
journal = {ZParl Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen},
pages = {286--303},
author = {Niedermayer, Oskar},
volume = {49},
number = {2}
}