@article{2015:hoffmann:wahlumfrag,
title = {Wahlumfragen und der Willensbildungsprozess der Wähler im Vorfeld der Bundestagswahl 2013},
year = {2015},
note = {In order to establish whether published polls influenced the voters’
decision-making processes in the run up to the German parliamentary
election 2013 the cognitive effects on the development of voters’
expectations regarding election results and the impact of polls onthe
formation of voting intentions are analyzed. Furthermore, strategic
voting is examined,particularly the intentions of voting for the FDP
due to their low poll numbers. The resultsreveal cognitive effects on
the expectations regarding government formation as well as onthe
likelihood of small parties passing the election threshold. Missing
variations in poll ratingsaccount for these inconclusive findings. The
same holds true for providing empiricalevidence for the impact of
polls on the formation of voting intentions. However, it can beassumed
that the stable high approval ratings of the CDU/CSU led voters to
lean towardsthis majority opinion which in turn increased the support
for the Christian Democratsshortly before election day. [ZParl, vol.
46 (2015), no. 4, pp. 708 – 729]},
journal = {ZParl Zeitschrift für Parlamentsfragen},
pages = {708--729},
author = {Hoffmann, Hanna},
volume = {46},
number = {4}
}